Saturday, August 30, 2008

Nice Speech, No Bump

The Barack Speech surge didn't happen according to the Rasmussen poll.

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday is the first to include reaction to both Barack Obama’s acceptance speech and John McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin to be his running mate. The numbers are little changed since yesterday and show Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote nationwide while John McCain earns 43%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 49% and McCain 45% (see recent daily results).

The daily tracking poll is three days of polling combined. On day one, the race was even, on day two, Barack got a four point bounce from the convention, but last night's polling, which should have shown a huge bump from Thursday night's Obama speech, was flat. Nice speech, no bump. The point goes to McCain for the Palin pick, and for grabbing back control of the news cycle.

Obama currently leads by thirteen points among women while McCain leads by six among men. Among white women, the candidates are essentially even while McCain holds a substantial lead among white men.
So far, people are more impressed by Governor Palin than they are by Senator Biden.
Sarah Palin made a good first impression. She was unknown nationally before being introduced as the GOP Vice-Presidential pick but is now viewed favorably by 53% of voters nationwide. Her counterpart, Joe Biden, is viewed favorably by 48%. While Palin has made a good first impression, the more significant numbers will come a week from now after the nation has a chance to learn more about her.

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