Sunday, August 17, 2008

Swinging Which Way?

It's a rare event when the polls agree, but the Saturday editions of the Gallup and Rasmussen daily tracking polls both show a statistical dead heat - with Obama up 1%.

One swing state that we're told will swing Democratic this year is Colorado, where the Democratic Convention commences in a matter of days. But the mood there has been swinging against Barack.
The race for Colorado’s Electoral College votes is about as close as it can be on the eve of the Democratic National Convention in Denver.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Colorado voters shows John McCain attracting 47% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 45%. When “leaners” are included, it’s McCain by a single percentage point, 49% to 48%.
Another state that Barack is supposed to swing from red to blue is Virginia.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the race shows Barack Obama with a statistically insignificant one-point advantage over John McCain, 46% to 45%. When “leaners” are factored in, it’s McCain with a statistically insignificant one-point edge, 48% to 47%.
It is also said that Nevada is becoming a blue state.
The race for Nevada’s Electoral College votes remains close, but for the fourth time in the last five months John McCain has a slight advantage. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey shows McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Obama earns 42%.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

If McCain wants to win, I think he should pick a conservative VP.