Friday, October 3, 2008

7 Points

It's not often that the two daily trackers are in agreement, but both Rasmussen and Gallup show Barack up 7%.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday again shows Barack Obama attracting 51% of the vote while John McCain earns 44%. For each of the past eight days, Obama has been at 50% or 51% and McCain has been at 44% or
45% (see trends). New polling shows Obama pulling away in New Hampshire and opening a growing lead in the Electoral College projections.
These results don't reflect reaction to the VP debate Thursday night.
The pattern of voter preferences in September -- with McCain's post-Republican convention lead slipping away after the extraordinary Wall Street failures that began in mid-September, and Obama's lead expanding to as much as eight points -- suggests that Obama has benefited from Americans' intensified economic anxiety during this period. Obama's advantage on this issue was evident in Gallup's
post-presidential debate polling on Sept. 27, when the poll found Obama receiving much better scores from debate watchers for his performance on the economy than McCain.

The news cycle continues to favor the Democrats.

The troubling new jobs report will most likely only reinforce, if not deepen, Americans' economic concern in the coming days. McCain and Obama's presidential debate this Tuesday could thus prove to be a critical opportunity for Obama to either cement his advantage on the economy, or for McCain to turn it around.

There is still mistrust of government among voters, though.

During last night’s debate, Alaska Governor Sarah Palin referenced a Ronald Reagan quote about government not being the solution to our problems. New polling data shows that American voters still strongly agree with Reagan on that point.

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