Monday, May 12, 2008

Barack v McCain

Here are the latest numbers:
The Rasmussen Reports' daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 47% of the vote while John McCain earns 46%.
Gallup shows Hillary still running slightly stronger against McCain than Barack:
...according to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from May 7-11, both Democratic candidates are now beating McCain among national registered voters in Gallup Poll Daily trial heats for the fall election. Obama leads McCain by four points, 47% to 43%. Clinton leads McCain by five points, 49% to 44%. Both leads represent the candidates' highest margins over McCain, to date, since Gallup began tracking the general election ballots in early March.
The new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows that Democrats aren't worried about the long primary fight, with 64% saying Hillary should stay in the race. It doesn't mean they want Hillary, however:
Democrats by a 12-point margin would rather see Obama as the nominee, a lead that's held steadily in ABC News/Washington Post polls since early March.
And the poll shows Barack gaining in a head to head matchup against McCain:
In general election matchups, Obama leads McCain by 51-44 percent, similar to the last two ABC News/Washington Post polls. Standings in a Clinton vs. McCain race are 49-46 percent, again roughly similar to previous ABC News/Washington Post results.
Do Americans lie to pollsters? Voters say they're much more biased against McCain's age than they are influenced by race or gender, a result that doesn't seem credible:
The greatest risk of losing votes is among those who are "entirely" uncomfortable with the idea; that's 15 percent for a 72-year-old president, vs. 6 and 7 percent, respectively, for a black or female president.
In West Virginia, a new poll says that Hillary leads by 36%:
The survey, conducted by Suffolk University in Boston, gave Clinton a 60 percent to 24 percent lead over Barack Obama, who leads in overall delegates and popular vote.

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