Monday, May 26, 2008

It Must Be Hillary

Over the past couple months, when everyone in the democratic party had decided that Barack Obama had to be the nominee - Hillary Clinton has been dug in, telling anyone who would listen that Barack is a mistake, that he will have a tough time winning a general election.
A growing concern for Democrats is the fact that, during her primary defeats as well as victories, Hillary Clinton has soundly defeated Obama among working-class whites, rural voters, and older women.
And she was right. Barack is a damaged candidate who will have to convince the country that he isn't Muslim (which 11% believe), that he doesn't share the views of Reverend Wright, Black Liberation Theology and Louis Farrakhan, while also making a compelling argument that it's not a problem electing someone with virtually no experience to the toughest job in the world. It is only because this is such a bad year to be a republican that Barack is even viable, especially since he draws poorly from mainstream working class white voters.
And, since presumptive Republican nominee John McCain has also polled well with these groups, Obama will have to figure out a way to connect with them if he hopes to become America's first black president in November.
Now, Hillary's argument shifts to the VP position. With her on the ticket, the fear of McCain's ability to attract the center leading to the GOP holding onto the presidency goes out the window. How does Barack say no?
"He needs to worry about those voting areas," said (former Connecticut Congressman Bruce) Morrison, who's now a Capital Hill lobbyist."He certainly needs to worry about Irish-America, Italian-America, and Polish-America, and other communities like that. And they're very concentrated in particularly important states, like Pennsylvania, Ohio and Michigan."

"He can win them. But he'll win them easier if they put Hillary on the ticket."

While the Washington punditry sees Hillary as having killed off her chances at the VP spot with last week's innocent comments about Bobby Kennedy, it's hard to imagine that Barack doesn't take very seriously the opportunity that Clinton presents.

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